Predictions through evidence accumulation over time
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Physical predictions over time
In order to interact with the world, people must be able to predict how it will unfold in the future, and these predictions must be updated regularly in light of new information. Here we study how the mind updates these predictions over time. Participants were asked to make ongoing predictions about the destination of a simulated ball moving on a 2D bumper table. We modeled these decisions by a...
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This paper shows, with experimental traffic data from a 4-mile long congested road, that traffic delays and vehicle accumulations between any two generic observers located inside the road section can be predicted quite accurately from the traffic counts measured at the extremes of the section. Predictions can be made with a streamlined version of the kinematic wave theory that does not rely on ...
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Gene expression is governed by an intricate combination of transcription factors (TFs), microRNAs (miRNAs), splicing factors, and other regulators. Genes cannot support infinitely complex regulation due to sequence constraints and the increased likelihood of harmful errors. However, the upper limit of regulatory complexity in the genome is not known. Here, we provide evidence that human genes a...
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Thomas Bayes, the founder of Bayesian vision, entered the University of Edinburgh in 1719 to study logic and theology. Returning in 1722, he worked with his father in a small church. He also was a mathematician and in 1740 he made a novel discovery which he never published, but his friend Richard Price found it in his notes after his death in 1761, reedited it and published it. But until L...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Scientific Reports
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-18802-z